2026 Iran-Gulf Crisis Tracker
CC

OSINT

How satellite imagery is used

Satellite imagery has become the default OSINT primary source for fixed-site events. The reasoning is straightforward; the limits are real.

What it shows well

  • Physical damage to fixed infrastructure (buildings, airfields, ports).
  • Vehicle and aircraft presence/absence at named locations.
  • Construction activity over multi-week windows.
  • Crater patterns consistent with specific munition types.

What it shows poorly

  • Anything indoors.
  • Anything that moved between passes.
  • Anything obscured by cloud, smoke, or active operations.
  • Casualty counts of any kind.
  • Intent.

How to read a published comparison

  • Note the dates of the "before" and "after" frames. A "before" frame from weeks earlier may show changes unrelated to the claimed event.
  • Note the imagery provider. Different providers offer different resolutions and revisit cadences.
  • Look at the published reasoning. Strong OSINT will mark exactly which features support the conclusion.
  • Remember that the conclusion is usually narrower than the headline. "Damage consistent with a strike" is not "damage caused by this specific actor".

Related glossary terms

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