What Happens Next?
Adjust conflict variables, choose your bias perspective, and generate AI-powered future scenarios. See how different assumptions lead to dramatically different outcomes.
These are scenarios, not forecasts
The simulator produces illustrative scenarios from a model given the variables you set. It is for thinking through what would have to be true for different futures to occur — not for predicting which one will.
Start with a pre-built scenario, then fine-tune the variables below.
Level of maritime disruption in the Strait of Hormuz
Houthi, Hezbollah, and militia activity level
Intensity of ceasefire talks, UN activity, backchannel negotiations
Level of US force deployment and offensive operations
Iran's enrichment progress and international response
Global energy market disruption level
Scale of humanitarian crisis and displacement
Level of diplomatic, military, and economic backing
Israel's direct military action against Iran
Scale of cyber attacks on infrastructure