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Security Council Warned Iran Nuclear Stalemate Is Creating Oversight Vacuum
Location: Iran
The hubris of Iran's leadership will prevent it from reaching a deal despite its disadvantageous position, INSS Iran researcher Beni Sabti said, arguing that Israel and the US have exhausted all options and should return to war. “The Iranian hubris is overflowing,” Sabti said. “They do not understand the hint. In the end, missiles do not fire themselves, and a nuclear program does not fire itself. These are evil people who have completely seized power.” “We are in a temporary situation in which, in the end, religious rule has become military rule, and that is somewhat worse than what existed before, even though it was already black, and now it is blacker than black.” “We need to go after the minds that operate the buttons,” he said. “It is not about technology. I also reject the issue of enriched uranium, because in the end, people will make the bomb.” “If the current Iranian leadership were not in office today, and Trump were not looking for someone to talk to, we would be in a better situation today,” Sabti said. “Because of Trump’s mistake, we will be in another round and another round.” Latest strikes on UAE show Iran is threatened Sabti addressed the circumstances that led Iran to attack the United Arab Emirates and Oman on Monday night, saying, “Iran is doing its job excellently. It is like a virus, when the body is sick and fighting it with medicine.” “The Iranians are doing what they do best,” he said. “The moment they are threatened, they attack, they threaten. The number of threats before yesterday’s incident was enormous.” “The Iranians talk a great deal, and that foreshadows what is about to come,” Sabti added. “They are aiming for an interim situation.” “The Iranians learned from us the ‘campaign between the wars.’ They do not attack Israel because we are a very difficult card. They go for the weaker players, those whose defense the US is responsible for.” Sabti further said that “the Iranians always look for whoever is weak, for instability. Look at what happened in Lebanon when they arrived there in the 1980s. They always look for whoever can be cracked.” “The Iranians are still in a place of not attacking first,” he said. “They know Israel’s strength. They know we will respond very harshly. We are not Bahrain and not Oman.” “By the way, Oman was their friend. It was a mediator, for God’s sake. It mediated between Iran and the US before Pakistan,” Sabti said. “The hubris is rising more and more. The fact that they will not attack Israel is perhaps true for the next two days.” Criticism of Trump’s handling of Iran Sabti then accused US President Donald Trump of poor decision-making and attacked his conduct. “President Trump is once again issuing contradictory statements,” he said. “One time, he says, ‘We will erase Iran,’ so erase it. A second time he says, ‘Nothing happened, it was nearby, and they did not mean it.’” “You are giving them the rope to do what they are doing,” Sabti said. “Now, it may be that he has some kind of game to drag them down. He does not need to. He does not need this game. He is the president of the United States.” “This is what Trump does not understand,” Sabti said. “He is cheapening the status of the president of the United States. There is nothing we cannot do in Iran. Everything is open in Iran.”
The hubris of Iran's leadership will prevent it from reaching a deal despite its disadvantageous position, INSS Iran researcher Beni Sabti said, arguing that Israel and the US have exhausted all options and should return to war. “The Iranian hubris is overflowing,” Sabti said. “T…
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Senior U.S. officials on Wednesday read the memorandum of understanding with Iran to journalists after days of secrecy over what is in the document. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity to read the draft, which Iran has not released, ahead of a formal signing ceremony set for Friday.
Here is what is in the U.S. draft: 1. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran and their allies in the current war by signing this MOU declare the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon, and undertake from now on not to initiate any war or any military operation against each other and to refrain from the threat or use of force against each other and ensuring the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Lebanon.
The final deal will confirm the permanent termination of the war on all fronts including in Lebanon and other provisions of this paragraph. 2. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran undertake to respect each other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and to refrain from interfering in each other’s internal affairs.
3. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran commit to negotiating and achieving the final deal in maximum 60 days extendable with mutual consent. 4. Immediately upon the signing of this MOU, the United States of America will begin the removal of its naval blockade and any disturbances or impediments against the Islamic Republic of Iran and will fully end the naval blockade within 30 days.
During this period, the traffic of vessels will be in proportion to the numbers of prewar traffic being restored by the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States of America further undertakes to remove its forces from the proximity of the Islamic Republic of Iran within 30 days after the final deal.
5. Upon the signing of this MOU, the Islamic Republic of Iran will make arrangements using its best efforts for the safe passage of commercial vessels with no charge for 60 days only from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman and vice versa. The traffic of commercial vessels will immediately start and, considering the needs for removing the technical and military obstacles and demining by the Islamic Republic of Iran, will be instated within 30 days.
The Islamic Republic of Iran will conduct dialogue with the Sultanate of Oman to define the future administration and maritime services in the Strait of Hormuz in discussion with other Persian Gulf littoral states in line with the applicable international law and the sovereign rights of coastal states of the Strait of Hormuz.
6. The United States of America undertakes with regional partners to develop a definitive mutually agreed plan with at least USD 300 billion for the reconstruction and economic development of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The mechanism for the implementation of this plan will be finalized as part of a final deal within 60 days.
All required licenses, waivers and permissions needed for the relevant financial transactions will be granted by the United States of America. 7. The United States of America undertakes to terminate all types of sanctions against the Islamic Republic of Iran, including the United Nations Security Council resolutions, IAEA Board of Governors resolutions and all unilateral U.
S. sanctions, primary and secondary, in an agreed upon schedule as part of the final deal. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States of America acknowledge the critical importance of the sanctions termination issue above mentioned and express their intentions to immediately address these issues in the negotiations in order to achieve mutual agreement on them.
8. The Islamic Republic of Iran reaffirms that it shall not procure or develop nuclear weapons. United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran have agreed to resolve the disposition of stockpile enriched material pursuant to a mechanism that will be mutually agreed upon in accordance with the schedule mentioned in Paragraph 7 with the minimum methodology to be downblending on site under the supervision of the IAEA.
The two parties also agreed to discuss the issue of enrichment and other mutually agreed matters related to the Islamic Republic of Iran’s nuclear needs, based on a satisfactory framework being agreed upon in the final deal. The final deal will confirm the provisions of this paragraph.
The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran acknowledge the critical importance of the nuclear issues above mentioned and express their intention to immediately address these issues in the negotiations in order to achieve mutual agreement on them.
9. Pending the final deal, the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran agree to maintain the status quo. The Islamic Republic will maintain the current status quo of its nuclear program and the United States of America will not impose any new sanctions and will not deploy additional forces in the region.
10. The United States of America undertakes that immediately upon the signing of this MOU and until the termination of sanctions the U.S. Department of Treasury will issue waivers for the export of Iranian crude oil, petroleum products and derivatives and all associated services including banking transactions, insurances, transportation, etc.
11. The United States of America undertakes to make fully available for use the frozen or restricted funds and assets of the Islamic Republic of Iran upon the implementation of this MOU. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran will mutually agree on the procedures related to the release of these funds during the negotiations.
Such funds, whether retained in the original account or transferred shall be made fully usable for payment to any ultimate beneficiary designated by the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The United States of America undertakes to issue all necessary licenses and authorizations accordingly.
12. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran agree that an executive mechanism will be established to monitor the successful implementation of this MOU and the future compliance of the final deal. 13. After signing this MOU and subject to the beginning of the implementation of paragraphs 1, 4, 5, 10 and 11 of this MOU, and the continuing implementation of these measures, the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran will start negotiations regarding the final deal exclusively on the other paragraphs.
14. The final deal will be endorsed by binding UNSC resolution. ___ Associated Press writers Michelle L. Price and Matthew Lee in Washington and Meg Kinnard in Columbia, S.C., contributed to this report.